Bitcoin (BTC) Prediction Markets
Trade on Bitcoin price movements with recurring price binary markets on HIP-4. Markets auto-create at 15m, 1h, 4h, and 1d intervals — target price set by HyperCore's live feed at market open.
Bitcoin Price Binary Markets on HIP-4
Bitcoin (BTC) recurring price binary markets are live on HIP-4 testnet today. These are not speculative future markets — you can trade them right now on app.purrdict.xyz.
How BTC Recurring Price Binaries Work
Each BTC market follows the priceBinary format on HIP-4:
class:priceBinary|underlying:BTC|expiry:YYYYMMDD-HHMM|targetPrice:NNNNN|period:15mAt market creation, the target price is set to BTC’s mark price from HyperCore’s native price feed at that exact moment. This is not an external oracle — it uses Hyperliquid’s own price data.
At expiry, HyperCore’s L1 validators automatically resolve the market by checking BTC’s price against the target via a VoteGlobalAction. No manual intervention, no centralized resolver.
Available Timeframes
BTC price binaries rotate across four timeframes:
| Period | Description |
|---|---|
| 15m | Expires every 15 minutes |
| 1h | Expires every hour |
| 4h | Expires every 4 hours |
| 1d | Expires once daily |
As each market expires, a new one opens automatically with the current mark price as the new target.
How to Trade
- Visit app.purrdict.xyz
- Connect your Hyperliquid testnet wallet
- Find the active BTC market for your preferred timeframe
- Buy YES shares if you think BTC will be above the target at expiry
- Buy NO shares if you think BTC will be below it
Trade mechanics:
- Minimum order: 20 shares
- Price range: 0–1 USDH per share (reflects probability)
- Settlement: automatic at expiry, 1 USDH per winning share
- Collateral: USDH (Hyperliquid’s native stablecoin)
Why Recurring Price Binaries?
Unlike perpetual contracts, price binaries have a defined expiry and payout. You know your max loss before you enter. There are no funding rates, no liquidation from leverage, and no need to manage a position through a volatile move — just pick a direction and wait for resolution.
The mirrored orderbook design means buying YES at 0.70 is automatically matched with NO at 0.30. Every matched pair mints one YES and one NO share, collecting 1.00 USDH from the combined trade.