Prediction Markets Blog
Guides, analysis, and insights on HIP-4, Hyperliquid, and on-chain event trading.
HIP-4 Adds Real Draw Markets: Three-Way Sports Contests Land on Testnet
HIP-4's permissionless testnet lane adds sportsContestResult: a true Win/Draw/Win market. See the template diff, settlement mechanics, and trader impact.
HIP-4 gets macro: the policyRateDecision template explained
A three-way central-bank rate template is live in HIP-4's permissionless testnet lane. Learn its outcomes, resolution rules, and pricing asymmetry.
HIP-4 Market Activity Report: August 2026
Original analysis of 1,818 HIP-4 outcome-token rows: indexed notional, fill concentration, market-class activity, methodology, and data limits.
Prediction Markets on Hyperliquid: Complete HIP-4 Guide
How Hyperliquid prediction markets work in 2026: HIP-4 outcome contracts, order books, settlement, market types, risks, and how to trade with Purrdict.
Does Hyperliquid Have Shared Margin? Perps, Spot, and HIP-4
Learn what cross margin means on Hyperliquid, why spot purchases and HIP-4 shares still consume assets, and how to read your available balance correctly.
What Is USDH on Hyperliquid? Mainnet HIP-4 Uses USDC
Current mainnet HIP-4 markets quote and settle in USDC. Learn where legacy USDH records came from and how integrations should handle asset metadata.
Build HIP-4 Apps with Open-Source React Components
Install and customize Purrdict's open-source React components, hooks, and SDK helpers for building HIP-4 prediction-market interfaces.
HIP-4 Fees and Hyperliquid Outcome Trading
Technical research on HIP-4 fees, outcome-token units, builder parameters, automatic settlement fills, and the difference from HyperEVM contracts.
Prediction Market Parlays on Purrdict
How prediction-market parlays combine HIP-4 outcome legs, why correlation changes fair pricing, and how Purrdict's separate testnet RFQ design works.
Parlays Are Coming to Purrdict: Crypto's Missing Bet Type
Kalshi brought combos to sports. We're bringing parlays to crypto — with instant on-chain resolution for price markets and AI consensus for everything else.
Private Prediction Market RFQs with Nitro Enclaves
How a private prediction-market RFQ design can use AWS Nitro Enclaves, attestation, signed quotes, and on-chain settlement—with limits stated clearly.
SignalConsensus: Why We Want to Replace Human Oracles with AI
A proposed multi-model resolution design using independent AI judgments, BFT-style agreement, Chainlink CRE, and explicit dispute limitations.
How to Deposit Funds on Hyperliquid
Step-by-step guide to bridging USDC from Arbitrum to Hyperliquid. Get funded and ready to trade in under 10 minutes.
What Are Agent Wallets? Trading Without Popups
Agent wallets let you trade crypto with one click instead of confirming every transaction. Here's how they work and why they're safe.
Your First Prediction Market Trade on Purrdict
A step-by-step walkthrough of placing your first prediction market trade on Purrdict. What shares are, how to buy, and what happens next.
The Future of Event Trading: From Binary Options to HIP-4
Event trading is evolving from sketchy binary options brokers to fully on-chain prediction markets on HIP-4. Here's how we got here and where it's going.
How Prediction Markets Work: A Complete Guide
Learn how prediction markets work — share pricing, implied probability, order books, resolution, and settlement. Includes real examples.
How to Trade Prediction Markets Profitably
A practical guide to trading prediction markets profitably. Position sizing, expected value, liquidity traps, and strategies that actually work.
How to Set Up a Wallet for Hyperliquid
Step-by-step guide to setting up MetaMask or Rabby for Hyperliquid trading. No prior crypto experience needed.
Multi-Outcome Prediction Markets: Beyond Yes or No
Multi-outcome markets let you trade on questions with many possible answers. How they work, pricing mechanics, and strategies for finding value.
The State of On-Chain Prediction Markets in 2026
Polymarket opened the door. HIP-4, Drift, and others are building what comes next. Where on-chain prediction markets stand in 2026.
Why Prediction Markets Are Better Than Polls
Prediction markets consistently beat polls and pundits at forecasting outcomes. Here's why putting money on the line produces better predictions.
Why Prediction Markets on Hyperliquid Cost Less
HIP-4 prediction markets on Hyperliquid offer structural cost advantages over Polymarket and Kalshi. Here's how they lower the real cost of trading.
Prediction Markets vs Perpetual Futures: When to Use Which
Prediction markets and perpetual futures have fundamentally different risk profiles. Here's when each one makes sense.
Recurring Prediction Markets on HIP-4
Recurring prediction markets on HIP-4 auto-reset on a schedule — 15min, 1h, or daily. Continuous trading that doesn't exist elsewhere.
What Are Prediction Markets? A Beginner's Guide
Prediction markets let you trade on real-world events. Learn how shares, odds, and payouts work — and why traders are paying attention.
What is Hyperliquid? A Beginner's Guide
Hyperliquid is a high-speed blockchain built for trading. Here's what it is, how it works, and why crypto traders are moving to it.